民富优先

Preface

Introduction： China is Confronted with "Middle Income Trap"

Chapter I： Entering the Era of Public Goods Shortage

Section I From Personal Goods Shortage to Public Goods Shortage

Ⅰ. Personal goods and public goods： definition of concept

Ⅱ. Stage of survival and personal goods shortage

Ⅲ. Development-oriented stage and public goods shortage

Section II All-round Rapid Growth of Development-oriented Demand

I. The Level Of Development-Oriented Demand Is Higher

II. All-round rapid growth of development-oriented demand

Section III Changes in Demand Structure will Surely Initiate Changes to Economic Structure

Ⅰ. It will initiate profound changes to investment， export and consumption structures

Ⅱ. It will initiate profound changes to industrial structures

Ⅲ， It will initiate profound changes to the structure of material capital and human capital

Section IV From Personal Goods Shortage to Public Goods

Shortage--Historical Starting Point of the Second Round of

Transition and Reform

Ⅰ. Public goods shortage reflects new stage-associated changes in social contradictions

Ⅱ. Development-oriented demand has become the endogenous motive force for economic and social development

Ⅲ. The second round of transition and reform with emphasis on self-developmentof people is at a new historical starting point

Chapter II： From Giving Priority to Enriching State to Giving Priority to Enriching People

Section I Historical Transition from Giving Priority to Enriching State

to Giving Priority to Enriching People

Ⅰ. Personal goods shortage and historical role of giving priority to enriching state

Ⅱ. Historical defect of giving priority to enriching state when public goods are insufficient

Section II Giving Priority to Enriching People to Realize Fair and Sustainable Development

Ⅰ. Giving priority to enriching people is conducive to expanding consumption

Ⅱ. Giving priority to enriching people is conducive to narrowing income distribution gap

Ⅲ. Giving priority to enriching people is conducive to promoting social equality

Section III Strategic Choice of Giving Priority to Enriching People

Ⅰ. From development of materials to human development

Ⅱ. From economic aggregate-oriented development to national income-oriented development

Ⅲ. Becoming a big consumer power

Chapter III： "The Twelfth Five-year Plan" at the Historical Turning Period

Section I Transition from an Investment-led Pattern to

Consumption-led One

Ⅰ. It is difficult to continue the investment and export-led pattern

Ⅱ. China has the initial basic conditions to build a big consumer power in "the Twelfth Five-year Plan" period

Ⅲ. Initially shaping the consumption-led basic trend

Section II Transition from Industrialization Orientation to Urbanization Orientation

Ⅰ. Transition from Industrialization Orientation to Urbanization Orientation

Ⅱ. Selection of road to push forward urbanization

Ⅲ. Initially shape the new urbanization-guided pattern during "the Twelfth Five-year Plan"

Section III Transition from Middle and High Carbon Economy to Low-Carbon Economy

Ⅰ. Low carbon economy is a new development pattern

Ⅱ. Economic growth during "the Twelfth Five-year Plan" period should be linked with total energy consumption

Ⅲ. China has basic conditions to develop low-carbon economy during "the Twelfth Five-year Plan" period

Ⅳ. Developing low-carbon economy should emphasize on institutional innovation

Section IV Transition from Public Goods Shortage to Equality of Basic Public Services in Urban and Rural Areas

Ⅰ. Significant effect of equalizing basic public services on transition of development pattern

Ⅱ. Initially shape the pattern of equalized urban and rural basic public services

Ⅲ. Make new breakthroughs in achieving equality of basic public services during "the Twelfth Five-year Plan" period

Ⅳ. Build and perfect the basic public service system benefiting . billion people

Chapter IV： The Second Round of Transition and Reform with Priority to Enriching People

Section I The Second round of transition with Priority to Enriching People

Ⅰ. The first transition： change relations of production and increase economic aggregate

Ⅱ. The second round of transition： change the economic structure and build a big consumer power

Ⅲ. March towards fair and sustainable scientific development

Section II The Second Round of Transition Depends on the Second Round of Reform

Ⅰ Institutional dividends of the first reform are gradually decreasing

Ⅱ. There are great spaces of institutional dividends in the second round of reform

Ⅲ. The second round of transition depends on the second round of reform

Section III Determine the Orientation of the Second Round of Reform with Priority to Enriching People

Ⅰ. Economic system reform with marketization as the main line

Ⅱ. Social system reform with equality of basic public services as the main line

Ⅲ. Reform of administrative system with government transition as the main line

Section IV "the Twelfth Five-year Plan"： Seek New Breakthroughs in the Second Round of Reform

Ⅰ. Reform of income distribution system needs substantial breakthroughs

Ⅱ. Let "migrant rural workers" be history

Ⅲ. Optimize allocation of state-owned assets with emphasis on public benefit

Ⅳ. Promote structural reform with emphasis on fiscal and tax system

Chapter V： Government Transition Centering on Public Services

Section I The Second Round of Reform Challenges Government Transition

Ⅰ. A development-oriented government can hardly achieve "enriching people first"

Ⅱ. It is difficult to sustain the government-led economic growth pattern

Section II Determine Government Transition Centering on Public Services

Ⅰ. Strengthen the function of government in economic public services

Ⅱ. Strengthen the function of government in social public services

Ⅲ. Strengthen the function-of government in institutional public services

Section III Strengthen the Role of Public Interest Representatives

Ⅰ. Government development concept focusing on public services

Ⅱ. Change the government tendency for own interests

Ⅲ. Go towards public governance

Concluding Remarks： Choices for the Second Round of Transition and Reform

Ⅰ. The second round of transition and reform is in a critical period for historical choice

Ⅱ. Strengthen the top level design for the second round of transition and reform

Ⅲ. Reach a basic common view on the second round of transition and reform as early as possible

China Institute for Reform and Development （CIRD）， established on November 1， 1991， is research institution mainly specializing in reform and development policy research. CIRD， with the mission of facilitating China's economic reform and development policy decision-making， follows the guideline of "basing itself in Hainan， facing the whole country and marching towards the world." ClRD practices a system of vesting the full responsibility with the president under the leadership of the board of directors and adheres to the operating mechanism characterized with small organization with a large network. Its organizational features of being network-based， international operations and independent research have attracted wide attention. With taking facilitation of reform policy decision-making its bounden duty， ClRD has been conducting forward-looking and independent research in important theoretical and practical issues in economic transition. In the past 20 years， it has submitted more than 140 sets of reform policy/legislation recommendation reports to relevant departments of the central government. It is the first research institution to have submitted reform policy recommendations on "granting long- term and guaranteed land use rights for farmers，" "equalizing access to basic public services，" "construction of public service -oriented government" and "speeding up the establishment of a socialist public service system，" of which some have been directly adopted into policy documents while many others have been used as references for drafting policy documents， laws and regulations. For these research results， CIRD has won many national academic awards including "Five One Project Award，" "Economics Research Award by Sun Yefang Economics Foundation，" and "China Development Research Award."

《民富优先：二次转型与改革走向（英文版）》是他在《第二次改革》与《第二次转型》基础上对新时期改革研究的进一步拓展和深入。《民富优先：二次转型与改革走向（英文版）》从我国已经进入公共产品短缺时代这一基本判断着手，明确提出尽快实现从国富优先走向民富优先的发展思路，详细分析了“十二五”期间发展方式转变的四大趋势，提出二次转型与改革的大战略与大思路。这是一本很有价值的著作，不仅提出了未来5—10年改革的基本思路，也提出了许多有较强操作性的改革建议。